Long Tail

Curve flattened! Strict rules on people’s movements and behaviors has resulted in a flat curve. Locations recording both infections and deaths over time vary. A steep or exponential increase is devastating and generally indicates uncontrolled disease speed.

Strict measures to contain virus spread in a population will flatten the curve. Either keep the rates constant, flat or even decline.

But with a relentless virus that does not go away like seasonal flu. Not only secondary outbreaks but continued outbreaks over long periods of time are not only possible but likely. The flattest curves will result in the longest tails. We are going to live with this for much longer than we think.

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